Its Egypt Egypt everywhere, so far at least 51 people are reported killed. I thought I too give my 2 cents worth of Egypt.
The apparent military ouster of Egyptian President Morsi is a triumph for the coalition of protestors who have massed in Tahrir Square the last few days. They include many of the young, secular, facebook kakis, tech-savvy activists who captured the world´s imagination more than two years ago, when they helped bring down Hosni Mubarak´s autocratic regime. I am of the opinion that this is one reason why the Obama Administration has not attempted to stop or even condemn the coup in Egypt. Morsi´s removal may well empower forces that are more friendly to the US than the Muslim Brotherhood. It also signals the end of a decade-long-US project to bring democracy to the Middle East.
As the Arab Spring unfolded in 2011, President Obama more openly embraced democratisation. The Obama Administration gave tacit support for the revolution in Tunisia, publicly called for Mubarak to step down, and undertook military action to aid the rebellion against Libya´s Muammar Gaddafi.
The result has been, in a word, chaos. Of the countries in the Middle East in which the U.S. has supported regime change since 2003, only Tunisia can be said to be anything resembling a stable, functioning state. Even there, Islamist parties have been the biggest electoral winners – just as the Muslim Brotherhood proved the most formidable political organisation in Egypt once elections were finally held last year.
Coming back to Egypt, Morsi´s opponents have won a Pyrrhic victory. The generals are the wrong friends for the democratic movement. They are no democrats, and they are even less interested in safeguarding the development of democracy in Egypt. The military is a state within a state and it has been pulling the strings in the background for decades. The liberal opposition, in particular, cannot be certain that in the future the military won´t next topple a government that is dully elected and which does not correspond with its views. For this reason, the joy over Morsi´s ouster is shortsighted. The army´s intervention could turn out to be more dangerous than is currently foreseeable. Egypt is threatened by a deep division that could result in conditions like those seen in Algeria.
Coups may be signs of failure, but they can also be signs of rebirth. It is an irony of history that too much emphasis on the process of democracy sometimes leads to the opposite result. The Egyptian military may have ended Morsi’s ambition, but it has offered Egypt its last best chance to avoid Islamist dictatorship.